The Canadian Index

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite daily closing level from August 31 to September 28, 2026.

The index slid to its lowest close since July as a gold selloff pulled it lower and US Treasury yields climbed to levels last seen in 2007.

S&P/TSX Composite Index, August 31 to September 28, 2026

September 29, 2026

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Line chart of daily WTI crude oil front-month futures closes from August 31 to September 28, 2026.

Oil barely moved on the day Washington rejected Iran's Hormuz plan, because physical supply has been recovering and Middle East exports are at their highest since the conflict began.

WTI Crude Oil Front-Month Futures, August 31 to September 28, 2026

September 29, 2026

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Line chart of Canada's annual consumer price inflation rate by month from July 2025 to August 2026.

Headline inflation sits at the top of the Bank of Canada's inflation control range, while core measures remain well below that ceiling, so…

Canada Consumer Price Index Inflation, Year Over Year, July 2025 to August 2026

September 29, 2026

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Bar chart of the federal tax value of a $10,000 net capital loss across 2026 taxable income brackets.

A net capital loss offsets gains only at the capital gains inclusion rate, so its tax value rises with the bracket of the gain it shelters.

Federal Tax Value of a $10,000 Capital Loss by Income Bracket, 2026

September 29, 2026

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Line chart of daily gold futures settlements from August 28 to September 28, 2026, ending at the lowest level since early August.

Gold fell on a day when Middle East headlines worsened, which cuts against its reputation as insurance against war.

Gold Futures After the September 28 Selloff, August 28 to September 28, 2026

September 29, 2026

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Line chart of the US 10-year Treasury yield, August 27 to September 25, 2026, rising from about 4.7% to above 5.1%.

The climb was gradual for most of September, with the largest one-day jump coming late in the period.

US 10-Year Treasury Yield Rises Steadily Through September

September 28, 2026

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Line chart of WTI crude and gold futures rebased to 100 on August 28, 2026, with oil rising and gold falling.

Gold is normally bought when geopolitical risk rises, but it pays no interest and competes with government bond yields.

Gold Falls While Oil Rises as Hormuz Talks Stall

September 28, 2026

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite Index, August 24 to September 25, 2026, ending near 35,800 after a monthly decline.

The index gave back part of its late-August gains as US and Canadian government bond yields climbed to multi-year highs, then stabilized.

TSX Slips Over the Month as Bond Yields Spike

September 28, 2026

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Line chart of Brent crude oil prices, August 28 to September 28, 2026, rising to about $100 after a peak near $108.

Crude rallied on attacks in the Strait of Hormuz and a sharp drop in tanker crossings, a supply shock separate from the tariff dispute between Canada and the United States.

Brent Crude Rallies on Hormuz Attacks

September 28, 2026

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Step chart of the Bank of Canada overnight rate target, March 2025 to September 2026, holding at 2.25% for seven decisions.

The Bank has paused because the core measures it prioritizes, which strip out volatile items such as gasoline and travel, sit close to its…

Bank of Canada Holds Its Rate for a Seventh Straight Decision

September 28, 2026

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Chart of the annual TFSA contribution limit from 2009 to 2027, reaching $7,500 in 2027.

The annual limit is indexed to inflation and rounded to the nearest $500 increment, so once the relevant consumer price data is published,…

TFSA Annual Limit Set to Reach $7,500 in 2027

September 28, 2026

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Line chart comparing University of Michigan consumer sentiment with the S&P/TSX Composite over 13 months to September 2026.

Consumer sentiment and the Canadian equity index have moved in opposite directions in most months of the past year.

Consumer Sentiment Falls While the TSX Rises

September 28, 2026

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite Index, August 25 to September 25, 2026, showing a wide range and a sharp midweek drop.

The index finished the week close to where it started, but its biggest move came from materials, not energy, breaking the oil-driven pattern of the previous two months.

TSX Ends the Week Flat as Oil Loses Its Grip

September 26, 2026

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Line chart of WTI crude oil prices, September 8 to 25, 2026, easing to about $92.55 from a September 10 peak.

Crude slipped on reports that Washington and Tehran were weighing a phased arrangement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and on signs that…

WTI Crude Slips to a Weekly Low on Hormuz Deal Reports

September 25, 2026

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Line chart of USD/CAD from September 12 to 25, 2026, rising steadily after the September 16 Federal Reserve rate increase.

The slide in the Canadian dollar began after the Federal Reserve's mid-September rate increase and continued through nearly every session that followed.

USD/CAD Climbs to a Seven-Week High Since the Fed Hike

September 25, 2026

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Line chart of USD/CAD, September 12 to 24, 2026, rising from about 1.386 to 1.414 as the Canadian dollar weakened.

The loonie fell on a day when oil rose, which shows the currency is currently following interest rate differentials, not energy prices.

Canadian Dollar Weakens Even as Oil Rises

September 25, 2026

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Line chart of WTI crude oil prices, September 8 to 24, 2026, falling from a September 10 peak above $100.

Commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains a small fraction of its pre-crisis level, yet crude has eased well below its…

WTI Crude Eases Despite the Strait of Hormuz Closure

September 25, 2026

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Line chart of the Government of Canada 10-year bond yield from September 8 to 24, 2026, returning to its September high.

The yield climbed back after the Federal Reserve raised rates and the Bank of Canada did not, leaving the gap between the two policy rates…

Canada 10-Year Bond Yield Returns to Its September High

September 25, 2026

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Chart of the CRA prescribed interest rate holding at 3% for six quarters, plotted against the Bank of Canada overnight rate.

The prescribed rate is recalculated each quarter from short-term Treasury bill auction yields and rounded up to a whole percentage point,…

CRA Prescribed Rate Holds at 3% for a Sixth Quarter

September 25, 2026

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite Index, September 8 to 24, 2026, showing a September 22 high then a sharp drop.

A hawkish Federal Reserve decision and a sudden reversal in metals prices hit mining shares, producing the steepest single-session decline in more than three months.

TSX Drops Sharply Midweek Amid Rate Divergence

September 25, 2026

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Line chart of the US 10-year Treasury yield, August 24 to September 24, 2026, climbing from about 4.7% to above 5.1%.

The yield rose after a strong flash business activity reading and a weak five-year auction pointed to further Federal Reserve tightening.

US 10-Year Treasury Yield Reaches Its Highest Since 2007

September 24, 2026

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Bar chart of September 24, 2026 same-day percentage moves in stock indexes, oil, gold and USD/CAD, with oil leading.

A report that US and Iranian negotiators were discussing a phased reopening of the Strait of Hormuz lifted oil while North American equities finished close to flat.

Oil Rises and the Canadian Dollar Falls on the Same Afternoon

September 24, 2026

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite Index, late August to September 23, 2026, swinging around a flat moving average.

Base metal shares drove both the Tuesday gain and the Wednesday reversal, as copper retreated from near-record levels once the US dollar…

TSX Falls as Base Metals Reverse Their Rally

September 24, 2026

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Line chart of WTI crude oil prices, August 31 to September 24, 2026, peaking above $100 on September 10 before easing.

Iran offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within days if US military pressure eases, but markets treated it as a conditional proposal in…

WTI Crude Holds Near $92 on Hormuz Reopening Offer

September 24, 2026

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