The Canadian Index

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Line chart of Brent and WTI daily closing prices in US dollars per barrel from September 9 to October 8, 2026.

Brent has closed above $100 on 15 of 22 sessions since September 9, while WTI has not closed above that level since September 17. Analysts read Brent as priced for Hormuz risk and WTI as priced for a Gulf of Mexico hurricane shut-in, which helps explain the wider gap. A statement that the United States will not attack Iran before the November 3 midterms narrows the tail risk without resolving the strait.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Line chart showing WTI crude oil jumping 5.55 percent to $74.35 a barrel after Iranian tanker attacks near Hormuz.

The jump followed Iranian attacks on three tankers near the Strait of Hormuz, including a Qatari LNG carrier, after which the US Treasury…

The US Revoked Iran's Oil Licence After Three Tanker Attacks, and the Real Question Is Whether the June 17 Truce Survives

July 8, 2026

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Line chart of Brent crude, the S&P/TSX Composite and gold futures rebased to 100 at the August 31 close.

Brent was the only one of the three to finish above its starting level, while the index and gold both fell.

Brent, TSX and Gold Rebased to the August 31 Close

September 30, 2026

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Line chart of Government of Canada 2-year, 5-year and 10-year benchmark yields, August 31 to September 29, 2026.

The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% for a seventh straight time, yet Canadian yields rose as United States yields surged.

Government of Canada Benchmark Yields, September 2026

September 30, 2026

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite daily close for September 2026, with a shaded slide and a dashed line at the August 25 record.

The index fell for the month even though Brent crude gained and the Strait of Hormuz stayed shut, because rising United States bond yields outweighed oil and gold.

S&P/TSX Composite Daily Close Through September 2026

September 30, 2026

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Line chart of Government of Canada 2-year, 5-year and 10-year benchmark yields through August 2026, with a shaded span at the August 21 peak.

Canadian yields drifted higher through August even though the Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% and had no decision to make during the month.

Government of Canada Benchmark Yields, August 2026

August 31, 2026

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