Oil has run well ahead of the TSX over the period, with Brent about 8% higher and WTI roughly flat, so the Canadian index has not followed crude. On September 15 WTI closed 15.7% above its September 4 level while the TSX fell 2.6% the same day. The last segment is dashed because it shows the 3:53 PM Eastern print on October 8 rather than a closing level.
This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.
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The Canadian dollar has weakened in 19 of the 20 sessions covered, with no single day larger than 0.39%, so the decline does not stand out in daily headlines.
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Brent was the only one of the three to finish above its starting level, while the index and gold both fell.
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The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% for a seventh straight time, yet Canadian yields rose as United States yields surged.
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The index fell for the month even though Brent crude gained and the Strait of Hormuz stayed shut, because rising United States bond yields outweighed oil and gold.
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Converting the S&P 500 into Canadian dollars adds the effect of USD/CAD, which has risen since August 26.
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Equities priced relief after a weak September payrolls report, but Treasury yields closed higher anyway, so the bond market did not treat the miss as a reason to expect lower rates.
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