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Line chart of Canada's CPI-trim and CPI-median core inflation from January to August 2026 against the 2% target.

Core inflation, which looks past the most volatile price moves, has drifted down to the Bank of Canada's 2% target. Headline CPI of 3.0% sits above both measures because of energy prices, which is why the central bank's attention is on CPI-trim and CPI-median. That leaves the October 28 decision leaning toward a hold, while a December hike is still priced at 88%.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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