The Canadian Index

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August 2026

Line chart showing gold spot price climbing 2.5 percent to $4,587 an ounce over three weeks.

Gold closed near $4,587 an ounce Friday, up 2.50 percent and marking a third straight weekly gain, after a US Treasury buyback announcement…

Gold Extends Third Straight Weekly Gain to $4,587 an Ounce

August 21, 2026

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Snapshot chart of TSX Composite, WTI crude, and USD/CAD closing levels on August 20, 2026.

The TSX Composite closed down 0.10 percent Thursday, its lowest close since August 6, as a Big Five bank selloff offset gains in energy and gold-linked names.

TSX Closes Flat as Bank Selloff Offsets Energy and Gold Gains

August 21, 2026

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Line chart showing USD/CAD declining 1.1 percent over two weeks heading into a tariff deadline.

USD/CAD fell more than one percent between August 9 and August 20, with the steepest decline coming in the three sessions framing a pause…

USD/CAD Falls 1.1% as Currency Markets Price a Tariff Deal

August 21, 2026

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Line chart comparing the Bank of Canada overnight rate against the rising Government of Canada 10-year bond yield.

The Bank of Canada's overnight rate has held at 2.25 percent through six consecutive meetings since April, but the Government of Canada…

Government of Canada 10-Year Yield Climbs 34bps While BoC Rate Stays Put

August 21, 2026

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Quarterly bar chart showing the CRA prescribed rate holding at 3 percent from Q1 2022 through Q4 2026.

The Canada Revenue Agency confirmed its prescribed rate stays at 3 percent for the fourth quarter of 2026, the sixth consecutive quarter at…

CRA Prescribed Rate Holds at 3% for a Sixth Straight Quarter

August 21, 2026

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Bar chart showing gold miners rising and Canadian bank shares falling on the TSX, led by a 2.8 percent gain for Franco-Nevada.

Canadian bank shares and gold-linked miners moved in opposite directions this week, with Franco-Nevada leading gainers at 2.8 percent as…

Gold Miners and Bank Shares Split as Availability Heuristic Takes Hold

August 21, 2026

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Line chart showing the spot gold price per ounce climbing above $4,500 before easing in mid-August 2026.

Gold eased to $4,481 an ounce Thursday, giving back part of the prior session's gain even as President Trump escalated economic threats against Iran overnight.

The Treasury Bond Rescue Reversed by Thursday, and Canada Never Got the Relief in the First Place

August 20, 2026

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Line chart comparing Government of Canada and US 10-year Treasury bond yields through August 2026.

The Government of Canada 10 year yield climbed to 3.74% Thursday, a level within reach of its multi year high, even after the US Treasury's…

The Treasury Bond Rescue Reversed by Thursday, and Canada Never Got the Relief in the First Place

August 20, 2026

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Bar chart comparing the TSX Composite's single session return against the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow on August 19, 2026.

The TSX Composite closed up 0.09% Tuesday, the only major North American index to finish positive, after giving back most of a midday gain as financials sold off into the close.

The TSX Gave Back a 127-Point Tariff Rally as Financials Sold Off Into the Close

August 19, 2026

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Line chart showing daily vessel crossings through the Strait of Hormuz falling sharply in mid-August 2026.

Daily vessel crossings through the Strait of Hormuz fell from 19 to 3 over the week of August 11 to 16, even as the United States maintained the strait remained open.

Hormuz Shipping Traffic Just Fell 19.5 Percent, and the Reason Is the Threat Against the Mediator, Not Iran

August 16, 2026

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Line chart comparing Canada's headline and core Consumer Price Index inflation rates through July 2026.

Canadian headline inflation accelerated to 3.0% in July, up from 2.8% in June and above consensus, driven mainly by energy prices as…

Canada's Inflation Print Just Complicated the Bank of Canada's September Calculus, and the Fed Isn't Making It Easier

August 20, 2026

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Step chart showing Canada's CRA prescribed interest rate holding at 3 percent through the fourth quarter of 2026.

The Canada Revenue Agency's prescribed rate has held at 3% for six straight quarters, a rate advisors can lock in for the life of an income splitting loan at inception.

The Prescribed Rate Has Held at Three Percent for Six Straight Quarters. The Bond Market Suggests the Window Is Narrowing

August 20, 2026

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Bar chart comparing single session gains in gold mining stocks against losses in Canada's largest banks on August 19, 2026.

Agnico Eagle's 10.5% single session gain came alongside Canada's five largest banks falling in tandem, the sharpest sector split of the year.

Chasing Tuesday's Ten Percent Gold Miner Gains Is the Costliest Trade This Week

August 19, 2026

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Bar chart showing gold's December contract as the top-gaining asset class, up 2.72 percent, during a risk-on trading session.

Gold's December contract rose 2.72% to $4,540.90 Wednesday, its sharpest gain of the week and the top mover among seven asset classes…

Gold Rallies 2.72% as Top Mover in a Risk-On Session

August 19, 2026

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Line chart tracking the US 10 year Treasury yield easing toward 4.70 percent after a Treasury debt buyback announcement.

The 10-year Treasury yield eased toward 4.70% Wednesday after the US Treasury said it would step up buybacks of long-dated government debt,…

US 10-Year Treasury Yield Eases After Treasury Buyback Announcement

August 19, 2026

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Bar chart of Tuesday's biggest TSX stock movers, showing Celestica down 8.4 percent amid a semiconductor selloff.

Celestica fell 8.4% Tuesday as a semiconductor selloff that began in the United States spread overnight to South Korea, where the KOSPI…

The TSX Fell 0.82 Percent Tuesday. Celestica Fell 8.4 Percent. That Gap Is the Real Story.

August 19, 2026

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Bar chart comparing the trade decline across categories named in the Section 338 tariff dispute, with alcohol falling hardest.

US alcohol imports from Canada collapsed 81% over the year to March 2026 after most provinces halted purchases of American liquor in…

The Two Retaliation Numbers Behind Section 338, and What Carney Has to Give Up by Friday

August 19, 2026

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Line chart tracking Canada's year over year consumer price inflation rising to 3.0 percent through July 2026.

Canada's annual inflation rate rose to 3.0% in July, up from 2.8% in June, driven almost entirely by a 26% jump in gasoline prices tied to Middle East shipping disruptions.

Canada's Inflation Rose to 3.0 Percent. The Bank of Canada Is Still More Likely to Cut Than Hike.

August 19, 2026

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Bar chart ranking Canada's top goods export categories by value, led by motor vehicles, against 556.6 billion dollars in total 2025 exports.

Canada exported $556.6 billion in goods in 2025, with motor vehicles ranking as the second-largest category and the largest of the three…

The Tariff Pause Is Not a Pause for Business Owner Clients With Cross-Border Supply Chains

August 19, 2026

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Line chart showing the Canadian dollar holding near 1.3880 per US dollar amid a Section 338 tariff pause in mid-August 2026.

The Canadian dollar held near 1.3880 against the US dollar this week after President Trump paused planned 50% tariffs on Canadian autos,…

The Certainty Effect Is Doing the Heavy Lifting in This Morning's Tariff Relief Rally

August 19, 2026

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Intraday line chart of gold spot price falling to $4,367 an ounce Tuesday as long-term Treasury yields surged.

Gold spot fell to $4,367 an ounce Tuesday, down 1.2% from its intraday high, even as a genuine escalation in the Strait of Hormuz might…

Gold Falls as Treasury Yields Hit a 19-Year High

August 18, 2026

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Scorecard chart comparing six assets' same-day percentage moves Tuesday, with gold the worst performer amid Hormuz tensions.

Gold, oil, the Canadian dollar, the TSX and bond yields posted mixed moves Tuesday afternoon even as tensions in the Strait of Hormuz…

Cross-Asset Scorecard as Hormuz Escalates

August 18, 2026

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Bar chart of Monday's biggest TSX stock movers, led by energy and gold names as tech shares lagged.

Energy and gold-linked stocks led Monday's gainers as the broader index closed down 0.17%, while technology and rate-sensitive names lagged.

Energy and Gold Names Lead Monday's TSX Movers

August 18, 2026

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Weekly line chart of WTI crude oil prices from January to August 2026, up nearly 29 percent amid Hormuz tensions.

Oil prices climbed after the 60-day US-Iran ceasefire agreement over the Strait of Hormuz expired Monday without extension, followed by an…

WTI Rises as the Hormuz Ceasefire Deadline Passes

August 18, 2026

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