The Canadian Index

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Bar chart comparing same-session percentage moves across six assets following the July PCE inflation surprise.

Wednesday afternoon's hot US July PCE inflation print, which came in above forecast, reversed four sessions of falling Canadian and US bond yields within hours. Gold and the Canadian dollar repriced sharply on the same surprise, while equity volatility barely moved, extending the anchoring pattern the VIX has shown through weeks of tariff and Iran-related headlines. The divergence shows Canadian long-duration yields currently tracking the US inflation path more closely than Canada's own tariff dispute.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Bar chart showing three Canadian banks' adjusted net income growth accelerating in Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings.

Scotiabank, BMO, and National Bank each posted accelerating year-over-year adjusted net income growth this week, with each report topping the one before it.

The July PCE Surprise Reversed Four Days of Falling Canadian Yields in One Afternoon

August 26, 2026

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Line chart tracking the S&P/TSX Composite through July's ceasefire collapse, near-record rally, and late-month pullback to a 35,226 close.

The S&P/TSX Composite closed July at 35,226, up 1.06% for the month, a modest headline figure that conceals sharp intra-month swings.

S&P/TSX Composite closes July up 1.06% after a volatile month

July 31, 2026

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Line chart comparing Brent and WTI crude oil prices through July's four-leg rally to $85.47.

Brent and WTI crude both surged in July, with WTI ending the month at $85.47, up 23.0%, after round-tripping from a five-month low near $68.74.

WTI and Brent crude surge in July as the Iran ceasefire collapses

July 31, 2026

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Daily WTI crude oil price chart showing a pullback to $89.31 after a six-week high mid-week.

Oil touched a six-week high of $92.19 on Thursday after Houthi forces struck Saudi tankers, then eased on reports of Pakistan-brokered mediation between the parties.

Oil Pulls Back to $89.31 After Six-Week High on Mediation Reports

July 25, 2026

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Bar chart comparing weekly percentage moves across seven assets including oil, the Canadian dollar, and the TSX.

Oil, the Canadian dollar, and the TSX diverged over the week ending July 24, even as crude posted its strongest weekly gain since the war began in February.

Cross-Asset Weekly Moves: Oil Rallies, Loonie Falls Anyway

July 25, 2026

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Line chart comparing WTI crude oil and gold prices as they diverged after the US-Iran truce collapse in July 2026.

WTI crude oil climbed to $81.78 a barrel, up 16% over the week, after the US-Iran ceasefire collapsed and Washington reimposed a naval blockade of Iranian ports.

WTI crude oil and gold prices diverge after Iran truce collapse

July 18, 2026

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