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Line chart of Canada's annual consumer price inflation rate by month from July 2025 to August 2026.

Headline inflation sits at the top of the Bank of Canada's inflation control range, while core measures remain well below that ceiling, so the gap is energy, with gasoline up sharply from a year ago. Money markets price far more Canadian rate hikes over the next year than most bank economists expect. The October 28 decision, which comes with a new Bank forecast, will show whether the energy signal or the core signal carries more weight.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Bar chart of Canada's monthly net employment change from September 2025 to August 2026, with the August 2026 bar showing a decline.

Employment fell in four of the twelve months shown and averaged a gain of about 18,000 a month, so the August loss stands out within a mostly positive year.

Canada Monthly Net Employment Change, September 2025 to August 2026

October 6, 2026

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Line chart of Canadian headline CPI with CPI-trim and CPI-median core inflation, year over year, from August 2025 to August 2026.

A year earlier the relationship ran the other way, with headline inflation sitting about a point below the CPI-trim core measure.

Canada Headline CPI Against Bank of Canada Core Measures, August 2026

October 6, 2026

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Line chart of the Government of Canada 10-year bond yield, daily from September 2 to October 1, 2026, with a market-pricing marker.

Canadian economic data argued for patience, with flat July growth and the slowest manufacturing expansion in six months, yet the 10-year…

Government of Canada 10-Year Bond Yield, September 2 to October 1, 2026

October 3, 2026

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Line chart of Canadian total CPI with CPI-trim, CPI-median and CPI-common core measures, July 2025 to August 2026.

Three Bank of Canada core measures, trim, median and common, are shown against total CPI.

Canada CPI Against Bank of Canada Core Measures, July 2025 to August 2026

October 9, 2026

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Line chart showing the Government of Canada five-year bond yield climbing through August and September.

Canadian headline inflation held at 3.0 percent year over year in August, matching July, but the underlying number worsened: inflation…

The Bond Market Already Moved Before the Bank of Canada Has To

September 21, 2026

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Line chart comparing WTI crude oil prices to the Bank of Canada's 70 to 75 dollar forecast assumption band.

The Bank of Canada's July 15 Monetary Policy Report projected inflation returning to 2% by early 2027, built on oil settling between $70 and $75 a barrel.

The Bank of Canada's Path Back to 2% Assumed Oil at $70 to $75. It's Trading Near $84.

July 20, 2026

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Charts and data on this site are provided for general informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Each chart reflects the source and period indicated on it and may not represent current market conditions.

Charts may be downloaded and shared freely for professional or educational use, including in client presentations, reports, and publications, with no attribution or permission request required. Charts may not be altered, edited, or cropped: each is a specific, time-stamped dataset, and an altered copy no longer accurately represents that record.

© 2026 The Canadian Index. A public reference library of Canadian financial market charts, updated daily from public market data. See the Legal and Usage Terms page for full disclaimers.