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Line chart of Canadian headline CPI with CPI-trim and CPI-median core inflation, year over year, from August 2025 to August 2026.

A year earlier the relationship ran the other way, with headline inflation sitting about a point below the CPI-trim core measure. The reversal is driven by gasoline, which was 22.8% higher than a year before in the August release, while core measures stayed at or below 2%. The gap matters because markets are pricing a meaningful chance of a Bank of Canada hike on October 28 even though underlying inflation is subdued.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Charts and data on this site are provided for general informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Each chart reflects the source and period indicated on it and may not represent current market conditions.

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