Canada added 75,100 jobs in July, more than four times the consensus forecast, pushing the unemployment rate to a two-year low of 6.4%. Yet the five-year Government of Canada bond yield, the number that actually prices a five-year fixed mortgage, rose just one basis point on the news. The Canada Revenue Agency's prescribed rate held at 3% for a fifth straight quarter. Clients renewing five-year mortgages originated around 2021, when that yield sat near 1%, still face a materially higher rate this week's data did not create.
This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.
Related charts
Statistics Canada reported Canadian employment rose 75,100 in July against a consensus estimate of roughly 17,800, a beat of more than four times the expected size.
Canada's July Jobs Beat Consensus by 4.2 Times While the US Missed Badly
August 7, 2026
View chart & download
USD/CAD fell further on August 7 than any of five other assets moved in either direction, even as the five-year Government of Canada yield…
The Canadian Dollar Led a Six-Asset Reaction to the Same Jobs Data
August 7, 2026
View chart & download
Bond investors have priced in tighter policy well ahead of the central bank.
Government of Canada 2-Year and 5-Year Yields Since the Pre-War Close
October 7, 2026
View chart & download
Three Bank of Canada core measures, trim, median and common, are shown against total CPI.
Canada CPI Against Bank of Canada Core Measures, July 2025 to August 2026
October 9, 2026
View chart & download
The three-month Treasury bill that sets the CRA's quarterly prescribed rate has moved just 4 basis points since March, even as five-year…
July 17, 2026
View chart & download
The Canada Revenue Agency's prescribed rate for family loans has held at 3 per cent for five straight quarters, set from the prior quarter's Treasury bill auctions.
The Widening Gap Between the Prescribed Rate and the Renewal Wall
July 16, 2026
View chart & download