The Canadian Index

All content, including the full-resolution download, is provided at no charge.

Line chart comparing the CRA prescribed rate to the Government of Canada five-year bond yield from June to July 2026.

The Canada Revenue Agency's prescribed rate for family loans has held at 3 per cent for five straight quarters, set from the prior quarter's Treasury bill auctions. The Government of Canada five-year yield that prices mortgage renewals has kept climbing as the Hormuz conflict escalated, widening the gap between the two. Roughly a third of Canadian mortgage holders face higher payments by year-end. The next prescribed rate is calculated from July's auctions, the same ones absorbing this month's yield pressure, so the 3 per cent window may not last.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

Download Hi-Res JPEG (No Watermark)
Bar chart of the Canadian rate ladder showing the five-year Government of Canada bond yield at 3.18 percent.

Canada added 75,100 jobs in July, more than four times the consensus forecast, pushing the unemployment rate to a two-year low of 6.4%.

A Blowout Jobs Report Barely Moved the Yield That Sets Mortgage Renewal Rates

August 7, 2026

View chart & download
Line chart showing the Government of Canada five-year bond yield climbing to 3.43 percent in early September 2026.

The Government of Canada five-year yield has risen for two straight weeks as markets price in a near-certain Federal Reserve rate hike,…

Why This Quarter Is the Window to Lock the 3% Prescribed Rate

September 16, 2026

View chart & download
Line chart showing the CRA prescribed interest rate for family loans holding flat at 3 percent for a sixth straight quarter.

The rate used for family income-splitting loans has stayed flat while broader inflation pressure builds.

The 3% Prescribed Rate Has Held for Six Quarters, and the Window to Lock It In Is Narrowing

September 9, 2026

View chart & download
Step chart showing the CRA prescribed interest rate holding flat at 3 percent since the third quarter of 2025.

The Canada Revenue Agency's prescribed rate has held at 3% for five straight quarters, but the fourth-quarter rate is set from Government…

The Prescribed Rate Has Sat at 3% for Five Quarters. The September Auctions Could End That.

August 12, 2026

View chart & download
Bar chart comparing Canada's five-year bond yield, mortgage rates, and the CRA prescribed rate as of August 2026.

Canada's five-year bond yield jumped to 3.274% intraday Friday, its highest level in weeks, after July employment beat expectations by nearly fivefold.

Two Rates, Two Stories: The Bond Market Jumped Friday. The Prescribed Rate Did Not.

August 10, 2026

View chart & download
Bar chart comparing Canada's July jobs gain against consensus with the US jobs loss against its forecast.

Statistics Canada reported Canadian employment rose 75,100 in July against a consensus estimate of roughly 17,800, a beat of more than four times the expected size.

Canada's July Jobs Beat Consensus by 4.2 Times While the US Missed Badly

August 7, 2026

View chart & download