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Bar chart showing Canada's monthly real GDP growth from July 2025 through the June 2026 advance estimate.

Canadian economic growth has come in well ahead of the Bank of Canada's own forecast heading into its September 2 rate decision. Second quarter GDP is tracking a 3.4 percent annualized pace, against the Bank's 2.5 percent projection, a sharp turnaround from the first quarter's contraction. The Government of Canada 5-year bond yield climbed 20 basis points in July to 3.26 percent as markets priced in reduced odds of a near-term rate cut.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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