The Canadian Index

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Line chart tracking the Bank of Canada's overnight rate against Government of Canada 10 year bond yields since 2023.

The Bank of Canada has held its overnight rate at 2.25% for six consecutive meetings through July 2026, after nine cuts since June 2024 brought it down from a 5% peak. Government of Canada 10 year yields have nonetheless climbed back near where the policy rate sat in late 2024, as Canada's economy grew 3.4% annualized last quarter against the Bank's own 2.5% forecast. Cooling US inflation, meanwhile, has pulled Fed September hike odds down to roughly 40%, a divergence the bond market is already pricing.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Line chart tracking Bank of Canada rate decisions from January 2025 to July 2026, showing a sixth consecutive hold at 2.25 percent.

The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth consecutive decision, even as Canada's inflation cooled to 2.8% in June…

Canada's Inflation Cooled to 2.8%. The Bank of Canada Got More Hawkish Anyway.

July 22, 2026

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Bar chart comparing same-session percentage moves across six assets following the July PCE inflation surprise.

Wednesday afternoon's hot US July PCE inflation print, which came in above forecast, reversed four sessions of falling Canadian and US bond yields within hours.

The July PCE Surprise Reversed Four Days of Falling Canadian Yields in One Afternoon

August 26, 2026

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Bar chart showing three Canadian banks' adjusted net income growth accelerating in Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings.

Scotiabank, BMO, and National Bank each posted accelerating year-over-year adjusted net income growth this week, with each report topping the one before it.

The July PCE Surprise Reversed Four Days of Falling Canadian Yields in One Afternoon

August 26, 2026

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Line chart showing gold futures climbing 5.1 percent over the week to settle at 4,661.60 dollars an ounce.

Gold settled the week at 4,661.60 dollars, up roughly 5.1%, its third straight weekly advance, after an expanded US Treasury bond buyback…

Gold Kept Its Gain After the Treasury Buyback That Triggered It Reversed

August 22, 2026

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Bar chart comparing weekly percentage moves across the TSX, U.S. indexes, gold, oil, and the Canadian dollar, with WTI the top mover.

CAD is charted on the currency side of USD/CAD, so a positive value here means the loonie strengthened against the US dollar over the week.

WTI Led a Weekly Scorecard Split Between Two Unrelated Commodity Stories

August 22, 2026

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Step chart showing the Bank of Canada overnight rate holding at 2.25 percent for six consecutive decisions from April 2024 through July 2026.

The Bank of Canada has held its overnight rate at 2.25% for six consecutive decisions, following nine cuts made between June 2024 and October 2025.

The BoC Meets Five Days After Warsh Speaks and Two Weeks Before the Fed Decides

August 17, 2026

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