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Line chart showing Canada's 10-year government bond yield climbing toward a two-year high in early September 2026.

Canada's 10-year yield has barely moved even as Brent crude broke above $100 a barrel this week after the US destroyed five Iranian tankers and Iran struck a Jordan base and ships near Hormuz. Fed hike odds for next week's decision jumped to roughly 60% from 40% a week earlier, an unusual case of a rate hike being priced off an energy shock rather than growth data. The bond market's near-silence suggests it has not yet decided which story to believe.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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