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Line chart of the VIX daily close from September 8 to October 2, 2026, with an average line.

The VIX closed below its average for the period even though Treasury yields posted their worst quarter this century, with the 10-year yield touching its highest level since May 2002 on September 30. Nine straight weeks of retail net selling of US equities fits the disposition effect, but flow data cannot show which positions are being sold, so the diagnosis rests on pattern, not proof.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Line chart of the VIX daily close from September 2 to October 1, 2026, with an October average reference line.

The VIX sits well below its 25-year October average, which includes crisis years such as 2008, so the equity market looks calm going into a month with a reputation for volatility.

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October 2, 2026

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Line chart of the Cboe Volatility Index daily close from September 10 to September 29, 2026.

The VIX is near the one-year low flagged by Cboe even though the 10-year Treasury yield has reached its highest level since mid-2007.

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite and Cboe VIX from September 9 to October 8, 2026, with a line at the August 25 close.

The volatility index has stayed inside a narrow band despite a Federal Reserve rate increase on September 16, which suggests markets are calm.

S&P/TSX Composite Against the Cboe VIX, September 9 to October 8

October 9, 2026

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite from September 1 to October 7, 2026, ending in a dashed afternoon print.

The final point is a 2:46 PM Eastern print from October 7 rather than an official close, drawn dashed because the closing level was not available at publication.

S&P/TSX Composite With the October 7 Midday Print

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite, S&P 500 and Nasdaq rebased to 100 at the August 26 close, through October 6.

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Charts and data on this site are provided for general informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Each chart reflects the source and period indicated on it and may not represent current market conditions.

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