The Canadian Index

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Bar chart showing the TSX Composite's daily point change over eleven sessions, including Wednesday's steep single-day decline.

Wednesday's drop followed a Fed decision split by three dissenting votes and a fresh round of strikes on Iran, while the VIX jumped 13.45 percent before giving back nearly all of that spike by Thursday's open. Behavioural economists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky's availability heuristic explains the pattern: the most recent, vivid input gets outsized weight regardless of whether the underlying situation has actually changed. Nine of the last eleven TSX sessions have moved more than 150 points, with no single day's move holding for more than two sessions.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Line chart showing Brent crude oil prices from February to July 2026, spiking during the war then partially unwinding.

Brent crude closed the week at $76.01, up about 5 percent, after Iran struck Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and Jordan in a single day, the widest…

Brent crude gains 5% as Iran strikes widen war to four countries

July 11, 2026

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Bar chart comparing weekly percentage changes in Brent crude, the Canadian dollar, the TSX and gold for July 6 to 10, 2026.

This scorecard tracks four major Canadian-relevant assets over the week ending July 10, as Iran's strikes on four countries widened the war further than at any point since it began.

Weekly scorecard: Brent, CAD and TSX rise as gold falls despite widening war

July 11, 2026

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite from September 1 to October 7, 2026, ending in a dashed afternoon print.

The final point is a 2:46 PM Eastern print from October 7 rather than an official close, drawn dashed because the closing level was not available at publication.

S&P/TSX Composite With the October 7 Midday Print

October 7, 2026

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Line chart of the Cboe VIX volatility index daily close from September 1 to October 7, 2026, ending nearly unchanged.

The VIX barely moved on October 7 even as Canadian equities fell on rate fears, because the index is built from United States large-cap…

VIX Daily Close on the Day Rate Fear Hit the TSX

October 7, 2026

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Line chart of the Cboe VIX volatility index daily close from September 8 to October 6, 2026, staying within a narrow band.

Behavioural research on habituation suggests that a repeating shock eventually stops moving a risk gauge.

VIX Daily Close and Habituation to Oil Shocks, September 8 to October 6

October 7, 2026

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Line chart of Brent crude, the S&P/TSX Composite and gold futures rebased to 100 at the August 31 close.

Brent was the only one of the three to finish above its starting level, while the index and gold both fell.

Brent, TSX and Gold Rebased to the August 31 Close

September 30, 2026

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