The Canadian Index

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Bar chart showing the TSX Composite's daily point change over eleven sessions, including Wednesday's steep single-day decline.

Wednesday's drop followed a Fed decision split by three dissenting votes and a fresh round of strikes on Iran, while the VIX jumped 13.45 percent before giving back nearly all of that spike by Thursday's open. Behavioural economists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky's availability heuristic explains the pattern: the most recent, vivid input gets outsized weight regardless of whether the underlying situation has actually changed. Nine of the last eleven TSX sessions have moved more than 150 points, with no single day's move holding for more than two sessions.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Line chart showing Brent crude oil prices from February to July 2026, spiking during the war then partially unwinding.

Brent crude closed the week at $76.01, up about 5 percent, after Iran struck Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and Jordan in a single day, the widest…

Brent crude gains 5% as Iran strikes widen war to four countries

July 11, 2026

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Bar chart comparing weekly percentage changes in Brent crude, the Canadian dollar, the TSX and gold for July 6 to 10, 2026.

This scorecard tracks four major Canadian-relevant assets over the week ending July 10, as Iran's strikes on four countries widened the war further than at any point since it began.

Weekly scorecard: Brent, CAD and TSX rise as gold falls despite widening war

July 11, 2026

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Bar chart comparing same-session percentage moves across six assets following the July PCE inflation surprise.

Wednesday afternoon's hot US July PCE inflation print, which came in above forecast, reversed four sessions of falling Canadian and US bond yields within hours.

The July PCE Surprise Reversed Four Days of Falling Canadian Yields in One Afternoon

August 26, 2026

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Bar chart showing three Canadian banks' adjusted net income growth accelerating in Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings.

Scotiabank, BMO, and National Bank each posted accelerating year-over-year adjusted net income growth this week, with each report topping the one before it.

The July PCE Surprise Reversed Four Days of Falling Canadian Yields in One Afternoon

August 26, 2026

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Line chart showing Brent crude climbing 5.1 percent over the week to 87.84 dollars a barrel as the Iran conflict and naval blockade escalated.

Brent crude rose 5.1% over the week to $87.84 a barrel as an escalating Iran conflict pushed oil back toward its earlier highs.

The TSX and Gold Both Set Records This Week. That Should Not Happen Together.

August 15, 2026

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Bar chart comparing six assets' weekly gains, showing energy markets rising roughly five times faster than equities or the Canadian dollar.

Six major assets all finished the week higher, but energy markets moved roughly five times faster than equities or the Canadian dollar.

The TSX and Gold Both Set Records This Week. That Should Not Happen Together.

August 15, 2026

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