The Canadian Index

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Line chart showing the S&P/TSX Composite climbing toward a 52-week high during eleven nights of strikes on Iran.

The index has climbed toward a record high through eleven straight nights of strikes on Iran, a rally powered narrowly by gold miners and energy producers while other sectors lagged behind. Behavioural research originating with Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky suggests investors reweight recent, vivid events more heavily than base rates when judging what happens next. That dynamic can leave portfolios increasingly concentrated in whichever sector carried the most recent sessions, a risk that builds quietly during stretches like this one.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Line chart showing WTI crude oil climbing from about $66.95 on June 24 to $74.40 by July 9, 2026, amid escalating strikes on Iran.

WTI crude has climbed to $74.40, up 11.1% since June 24, as the U.S.

The Strikes on Iran Got Bigger Overnight. The Market's Reaction Got Smaller.

July 9, 2026

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Line chart of the Cboe VIX volatility index from late August to September 23, 2026, hovering in the mid-teens.

The VIX estimates how much the options market expects stocks to move over the next thirty days, so it can stay quiet while individual sessions are violent.

VIX Stays Subdued While the TSX Swings

September 24, 2026

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Line chart showing the VIX volatility index holding a narrow range through late August 2026 despite trade war headlines.

The VIX has held a narrow range for most of August even as Ottawa confirmed C$27.6 billion in retaliatory tariffs and Washington unveiled a sweeping new Iran sanctions campaign.

The VIX Has Not Moved in Three Weeks. That Is Not the Same as Markets Judging the Trade War Small.

August 26, 2026

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Line chart showing the TSX Composite rising 4.0 percent from mid-July to mid-August 2026 despite four separate pullbacks tied to Strait of Hormuz headlines.

The TSX composite gained 4.0% from mid-July through mid-August 2026, even as four separate pullbacks tied to Strait of Hormuz headlines interrupted the climb along the way.

Four Hormuz Dips Recovered in a Month. Today Tests Whether the Pattern Holds.

August 17, 2026

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Line chart showing the TSX composite, Brent crude and Canada's 10-year bond yield indexed and diverging in early August 2026.

Canada's 10-year government bond yield, the TSX composite and Brent crude had moved together through early August as Strait of Hormuz risk built, but Tuesday broke that pattern.

TSX, Brent and Canada's 10-Year Yield Diverge

August 11, 2026

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Bar chart showing Cargojet and other top-gaining TSX stocks leading Tuesday's session as energy stocks lagged.

Cargojet led Tuesday's TSX session, up 4.6 percent, as financials and industrials drove the index to a fresh intraday record.

Cargojet Leads Tuesday's TSX as Energy Lags

August 11, 2026

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