The Canadian Index

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Dual axis chart comparing WTI crude oil and gold prices moving in opposite directions the same week.

Iran rejected Oman's proposal for joint oversight of the Strait of Hormuz on July 29, leaving the dispute unresolved even as vessel traffic through the waterway improved operationally. Oil and gold moved in opposite directions on that same news this week, with crude sliding as risk premiums eased and gold climbing as investors sought a safe haven. The split illustrates the availability heuristic described by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, where one unresolved headline gets read as reassuring or alarming depending on which market someone is watching.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Line chart comparing WTI crude oil and gold spot prices from June 22 to July 20, 2026.

WTI crude has climbed 2.1% to $83.48 as the conflict's confirmed U.S.

Oil Spiked Past $85 as the War's U.S. Death Toll Hit 17. It Gave Back Most of the Move by Noon.

July 20, 2026

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Line chart tracking gold's spot price from August 17 to 31, 2026, showing a 15-week high on August 24 followed by a 5.3 percent decline to $4,454.53.

Gold fell to $4,454.53, down 5.3% from its August 24 high, after a hawkish Jackson Hole speech from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh unwound three weeks of gains built on debt-debasement flows.

Gold's Quiet Climb to a 15-Week High Hid the Risk That Just Came Back

August 31, 2026

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Line chart comparing indexed gold and Brent crude prices as the two assets diverge then reverse in early August 2026.

Gold rose 7.2% last week to a record close near $4,400 while Brent crude fell 7.3% as traders bet a Hormuz shipping deal was close.

Gold's Record Week Made the Story Feel Settled. Monday Already Disagrees.

August 10, 2026

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Line chart showing WTI crude oil rising 10.6 percent from July 7 to August 7, 2026, with a sharp mid-week reversal.

Crude oil fell sharply in early August as reports of a preliminary Iran-Oman agreement on Strait of Hormuz shipping circulated, then…

WTI Swung More Than 10% in a Week on Headlines the Availability Heuristic Explains

August 7, 2026

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Bar chart of WTI crude oil's daily percentage price swings from July 6 to August 4, 2026.

Crude oil's decline reflects a pattern researchers Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky called base-rate neglect: investors treating each…

Crude Moved More Than Two Percent in Twelve of the Past Twenty-Two Sessions. That Is a Base-Rate Problem, Not a Supply Problem.

August 5, 2026

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Line chart showing the spot price of gold falling 2.07 percent on July 24, 2026 as oil prices surged.

Gold's drop came even as Brent crude crossed $100 a barrel for the first time since May, after Houthi forces struck two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea.

Record High, Sharp Reversal: A Lesson in Loss Aversion

July 24, 2026

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