Canada added 75,100 jobs in July against a forecast near 16,500, while the United States lost 23,000 against an expected gain of 83,000, both released the same Friday morning. The Bank of Canada has held its overnight rate for six consecutive decisions since October 2025, and the Federal Reserve for five, with three FOMC members dissenting in April in favor of a hike. Markets priced under a 50% chance of a Fed hike next meeting, down from roughly one in three before the report.
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