The Canadian Index

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Line chart showing the policy rate gap between the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve widening to 175 basis points.

The gap between the Bank of Canada and Federal Reserve policy rates narrowed to 150 basis points by December as the Fed kept cutting after both banks moved together in October, then reopened to 175 basis points once the Fed raised rates again in September. Each bank is following its own domestic mandate rather than coordinating: the Bank of Canada has held steady since October, citing tariff risk and inflation closer to target once gasoline is excluded, while the Fed reversed course entirely.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Line chart of the TSX Composite over the week the Fed hiked rates and the Bank of Canada held.

Two G7 central banks moved in opposite directions the week of September 15: the Federal Reserve raised its policy rate a quarter point to…

The Week the Bank of Canada's Own Rate Stopped Setting Canadian Borrowing Costs

September 19, 2026

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Line chart showing the gap between Bank of Canada and Federal Reserve policy rates narrowing from 250 to 150 basis points.

The gap between the Bank of Canada's and the US Federal Reserve's policy rates has narrowed sharply since January 2025, as the two central…

The BoC and the Fed Have Stopped Moving Together, and Oil Is the Reason Why

September 11, 2026

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Line chart showing Brent crude climbing 5.1 percent over the week to 87.84 dollars a barrel as the Iran conflict and naval blockade escalated.

Brent crude rose 5.1% over the week to $87.84 a barrel as an escalating Iran conflict pushed oil back toward its earlier highs.

The TSX and Gold Both Set Records This Week. That Should Not Happen Together.

August 15, 2026

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Bar chart comparing six assets' weekly gains, showing energy markets rising roughly five times faster than equities or the Canadian dollar.

Six major assets all finished the week higher, but energy markets moved roughly five times faster than equities or the Canadian dollar.

The TSX and Gold Both Set Records This Week. That Should Not Happen Together.

August 15, 2026

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Line chart tracking the market-implied probability the US Federal Reserve holds rates steady in September 2026.

Market-implied odds that the US Federal Reserve holds its benchmark rate steady in September rose to about 60%, up from roughly one in three a week earlier.

The Fed's Three Dissenters Wanted a Hike. Canada's Data Made Their Case, America's Broke It.

August 10, 2026

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Line chart tracking the S&P/TSX Composite through July's ceasefire collapse, near-record rally, and late-month pullback to a 35,226 close.

The S&P/TSX Composite closed July at 35,226, up 1.06% for the month, a modest headline figure that conceals sharp intra-month swings.

S&P/TSX Composite closes July up 1.06% after a volatile month

July 31, 2026

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