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Line chart of WTI crude oil front-month daily closes from July 1 to October 14, 2026, with two price assumptions marked.

Oil carries a risk premium tied to the near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz, where IMF PortWatch recorded 2 transits on October 11 against a baseline of 85 a day. Canadian producers collect that premium, with operating profits up 68% from the first to the second quarter of 2026. The dashed lines mark Deloitte's average WTI assumptions of US$90 for 2026 and US$76.50 for 2027.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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