Gold and WTI crude are reacting to the same Hormuz conflict headlines in opposite directions, a split behavioural economists call mental accounting, sorting one event into separate, inconsistent mental buckets. Oil is repricing on reports that Washington is weighing a strike on Kharg Island, Iran's main export terminal, a production-risk escalation distinct from earlier transit disruptions. Gold remains anchored instead to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish rate signalling, which is crowding out the same geopolitical news moving oil.
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