The Canadian Index

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite daily close from August 17 to October 2, 2026, with a shaded band for September 10 to 17.

The index has closed below its August 25 level on every session since, yet it has not recorded a single move of 2% in 33 sessions. That quiet drift is the harder behavioural test for investors, because loss aversion weights a shortfall from a remembered high heavily. A trough on October 1 was followed by a partial recovery the next day. The shaded band marks the days when WTI closed near $100.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Line chart of WTI crude oil daily closes from September 8 to October 5, 2026, showing a run near $100 and a decline.

Oil has been the loud part of the market since early September, with WTI moving 2% or more on 13 of 19 sessions.

WTI Crude Oil Daily Closes, September 8 to October 5

October 6, 2026

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite and Cboe VIX from September 9 to October 8, 2026, with a line at the August 25 close.

The volatility index has stayed inside a narrow band despite a Federal Reserve rate increase on September 16, which suggests markets are calm.

S&P/TSX Composite Against the Cboe VIX, September 9 to October 8

October 9, 2026

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Line chart of the United States 30-year Treasury yield daily close from September 8 to October 7, 2026.

The long-bond yield rose in nine of eleven sessions, with no single day moving it by more than 10 basis points.

US 30-Year Treasury Yield Daily Close, September 8 to October 7

October 8, 2026

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Line chart showing the S&P/TSX Composite climbing toward a 52-week high during eleven nights of strikes on Iran.

The index has climbed toward a record high through eleven straight nights of strikes on Iran, a rally powered narrowly by gold miners and…

The Recency Trap in a War-Driven Rally

July 23, 2026

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Line chart showing WTI crude oil climbing from about $66.95 on June 24 to $74.40 by July 9, 2026, amid escalating strikes on Iran.

WTI crude has climbed to $74.40, up 11.1% since June 24, as the U.S.

The Strikes on Iran Got Bigger Overnight. The Market's Reaction Got Smaller.

July 9, 2026

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Line chart of the VIX daily close from September 2 to October 1, 2026, with an October average reference line.

The VIX sits well below its 25-year October average, which includes crisis years such as 2008, so the equity market looks calm going into a month with a reputation for volatility.

Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) and the October Average, September 2 to October 1, 2026

October 2, 2026

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