The Canadian Index

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Line chart of the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index daily close from September 18 to October 16, 2026, with a bear market line.

Eight straight losses in the semiconductor index came as ASML and TSMC both reported record demand. The index closed lower on both reporting days, October 14 and October 15, despite the results. Streak length has not been a reliable timing signal: after 15 earlier runs of seven sessions or more, the median 20-session change was negative 0.2%. The bear market line is drawn at 80% of the June 22 record close.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Line chart of the VIX volatility index from September 14 to October 12, 2026, with its 21-session average marked.

The index sits near the bottom of its yearly range while traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is close to zero.

VIX Volatility Index, September 14 to October 12, 2026

October 12, 2026

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Line chart of the VIX volatility index and its 5-day average from September 16 to October 15, 2026.

Consumer sentiment and market volatility are sending different signals.

VIX Volatility Index, September 16 to October 15, 2026

October 15, 2026

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Line chart of the VIX volatility index from September 14 to October 13, 2026, with the tanker attack window shaded.

The VIX stayed near 15 through a week in which Reuters counted at least 12 tanker attacks around the Strait of Hormuz, an example of what behavioural finance calls disaster myopia.

VIX Volatility Index and the Hormuz Tanker Attack Window

October 13, 2026

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite and Cboe VIX from September 9 to October 8, 2026, with a line at the August 25 close.

The volatility index has stayed inside a narrow band despite a Federal Reserve rate increase on September 16, which suggests markets are calm.

S&P/TSX Composite Against the Cboe VIX, September 9 to October 8

October 9, 2026

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite daily close from August 17 to October 2, 2026, with a shaded band for September 10 to 17.

The index has closed below its August 25 level on every session since, yet it has not recorded a single move of 2% in 33 sessions.

S&P/TSX Composite Slide From the August 25 Close, to October 2

October 6, 2026

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Line chart of WTI crude oil daily closes from September 8 to October 5, 2026, showing a run near $100 and a decline.

Oil has been the loud part of the market since early September, with WTI moving 2% or more on 13 of 19 sessions.

WTI Crude Oil Daily Closes, September 8 to October 5

October 6, 2026

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