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Line chart showing market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve July rate hike falling from 46 percent to under 17 percent.

Market-implied odds of a rate hike at the Federal Reserve's July 29 meeting have fallen from a peak above 46% to under 17% by July 21, per CME FedWatch data. That risk did not disappear, it moved: odds for the Fed's September 16 meeting climbed to roughly 73%, up from about 26% five weeks earlier. Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem faces his own September 2 decision two weeks before the Fed's, with oil prices the variable both central banks are watching.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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