The Canadian Index

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Chart comparing Canadian and US key interest rates, with the Canadian 10-year yield at 3.75 percent.

Canada's 10-year government bond yield climbed to 3.75%, its highest level since May 2024, even though the Bank of Canada has held its policy rate steady for six consecutive meetings. The move tracks US Treasury yields, which rose on oil-driven inflation concern tied to the Strait of Hormuz conflict, since global investors price Canadian and US government debt off similar inflation expectations. Underneath that imported pressure, Canada's own economy sent a stronger signal: July employment rose by 75,100 and second-quarter GDP grew at an annualized 3.4%, both well above forecasts.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Bar chart comparing same-session percentage moves across six assets following the July PCE inflation surprise.

Wednesday afternoon's hot US July PCE inflation print, which came in above forecast, reversed four sessions of falling Canadian and US bond yields within hours.

The July PCE Surprise Reversed Four Days of Falling Canadian Yields in One Afternoon

August 26, 2026

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Bar chart showing three Canadian banks' adjusted net income growth accelerating in Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings.

Scotiabank, BMO, and National Bank each posted accelerating year-over-year adjusted net income growth this week, with each report topping the one before it.

The July PCE Surprise Reversed Four Days of Falling Canadian Yields in One Afternoon

August 26, 2026

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Line chart of Brent crude, the S&P/TSX Composite and gold futures rebased to 100 at the August 31 close.

Brent was the only one of the three to finish above its starting level, while the index and gold both fell.

Brent, TSX and Gold Rebased to the August 31 Close

September 30, 2026

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Line chart of Government of Canada 2-year, 5-year and 10-year benchmark yields, August 31 to September 29, 2026.

The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% for a seventh straight time, yet Canadian yields rose as United States yields surged.

Government of Canada Benchmark Yields, September 2026

September 30, 2026

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite daily close for September 2026, with a shaded slide and a dashed line at the August 25 record.

The index fell for the month even though Brent crude gained and the Strait of Hormuz stayed shut, because rising United States bond yields outweighed oil and gold.

S&P/TSX Composite Daily Close Through September 2026

September 30, 2026

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Line chart of Government of Canada 2-year, 5-year and 10-year benchmark yields through August 2026, with a shaded span at the August 21 peak.

Canadian yields drifted higher through August even though the Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% and had no decision to make during the month.

Government of Canada Benchmark Yields, August 2026

August 31, 2026

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