Crude rallied on attacks in the Strait of Hormuz and a sharp drop in tanker crossings, a supply shock separate from the tariff dispute between Canada and the United States. The US tariff exempts energy, potash and critical minerals, so strength in energy shares props up the TSX headline level while tariff-exposed sectors weaken underneath. Wider naval incidents, or new US measures reaching the exempt categories, are the risks to that balance.
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