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Line chart comparing USD/CAD and WTI crude daily closes since August 14, 2026, showing the pair drifting together rather than inversely since August 26.

USD/CAD held just under 1.3900 Monday, down 0.2% on the day, as WTI crude's climb to a post-Aug-24 high offset a U.S. dollar that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish turn should otherwise be pushing higher. The pair normally moves opposite crude, since stronger oil improves Canada's terms of trade, but USD/CAD has instead drifted with WTI since August 26, a sign the Fed side of the equation now rivals oil's usual pull on the currency. Wednesday's Bank of Canada decision is the next test of which side wins.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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