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Line chart showing the S&P/TSX Composite Index declining over three weeks into early September 2026.

The TSX Composite's pullback began the session after the Bank of Canada's September 2 rate hold and has continued as the tanker war between the US and Iran escalates. The decline is unrelated to energy, yet clients watching oil surge are increasingly asking to add energy exposure now, repeating a pattern Terrance Odean's research on frequent traders has documented as a loser. The tanker war's next turn cannot be forecast, which is exactly the condition under which that instinct does the most damage.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Candlestick chart of the S&P/TSX Composite daily open, high, low and close with trading volume from September 9 to October 8, 2026.

October 7 was the steepest one-day drop in 22 sessions, led by basic materials as gold fell and a gold producer lost more than 9% on lower third-quarter production.

S&P/TSX Composite Daily Candles and Volume, September 9 to October 8

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Line chart of Brent crude, the S&P/TSX Composite and gold futures rebased to 100 at the August 31 close.

Brent was the only one of the three to finish above its starting level, while the index and gold both fell.

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Line chart of Government of Canada 2-year, 5-year and 10-year benchmark yields, August 31 to September 29, 2026.

The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% for a seventh straight time, yet Canadian yields rose as United States yields surged.

Government of Canada Benchmark Yields, September 2026

September 30, 2026

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Line chart of the S&P/TSX Composite daily close for September 2026, with a shaded slide and a dashed line at the August 25 record.

The index fell for the month even though Brent crude gained and the Strait of Hormuz stayed shut, because rising United States bond yields outweighed oil and gold.

S&P/TSX Composite Daily Close Through September 2026

September 30, 2026

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Line chart of Government of Canada 2-year, 5-year and 10-year benchmark yields through August 2026, with a shaded span at the August 21 peak.

Canadian yields drifted higher through August even though the Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% and had no decision to make during the month.

Government of Canada Benchmark Yields, August 2026

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Line chart of gold futures, the S&P/TSX Composite and Brent crude, each rebased to 100 at the July 31 close.

Gold rallied and gold miner shares carried the TSX higher, while Brent ended the month close to where it began.

Gold, TSX and Brent Rebased to the July 31 Close

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