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Line chart comparing gold and WTI crude oil prices as they moved in opposite directions in early July 2026.

Gold fell even as Iran's declared ceasefire collapsed and its Revolutionary Guard struck more than eighty US installations in Bahrain and Kuwait, a divergence that points to what is actually driving the metal. Hours earlier, Federal Reserve minutes showed nine of eighteen officials penciling in a 2026 rate hike, up from zero in March, pushing the odds of a September hike back to sixty-six percent. Gold's decline confirms markets are pricing that rate signal over the safe-haven case the war headlines alone would suggest.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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