The Canadian Index

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Line chart showing Canada's annual inflation rate climbing to 3.2 percent in May 2026.

Headline inflation climbed to 3.2% in May, its fastest pace since December 2023, pushing the Bank of Canada to raise its 2026 inflation forecast even as it cut its 2026 growth forecast to 0.7% from 1.2%. The Bank attributes the jump largely to Middle East conflict driven gasoline prices layered on a domestic recovery it still sees broadening, and Governor Tiff Macklem called the mix the best economic news of the year despite the higher headline number.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Line chart comparing Bank of Canada and US Federal Reserve policy rates monthly from January to September 2026.

The Bank of Canada held its policy rate on September 2, 2026, its seventh consecutive hold this year, citing strong second-quarter growth alongside rising inflation risk.

The Bank of Canada Has Held Seven Times This Year. The Fed Just Broke Its Own Pattern.

September 23, 2026

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Chart showing the Bank of Canada policy rate held at 2.25 percent against its 2 percent inflation target.

The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25 per cent for a seventh consecutive decision, a quarter point above its 2 per cent…

The Bank of Canada Has Held for Seven Meetings. Tomorrow, the Fed Is Expected to Raise.

September 15, 2026

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Bar chart showing Canada's merchandise trade balance widening to a 3.9 billion dollar surplus in June 2026.

Statistics Canada reported that the country's merchandise trade surplus widened to $3.9 billion in June, the largest monthly surplus in…

Canada's Trade Surplus Widens to a Four-Year High in June

June 1, 2026

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Line chart showing WTI crude oil jumping 16.4 percent since its July 6 low after the Hormuz blockade resumed.

WTI reversed three weeks of decline in just two trading sessions after the US reinstated its naval blockade of Iranian ports on July 13.

Two Central Banks Report to the Public This Morning, and They Are Reading the Same Oil Shock Differently

July 15, 2026

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Line chart showing the TSX Composite retreating over 24 sessions as bond yields resumed climbing.

The TSX Composite gave back most of Thursday's post-Fed rebound by Friday, closing at 35,677.84 as bond yields resumed climbing.

TSX Gives Back Post-Fed Rally as Bond Yields Resume Climbing

September 18, 2026

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Bar chart showing gold and silver rising while the TSX and crude oil fell on September 18.

Six major markets split unevenly on September 18: silver rose 2.32 percent and gold 1.00 percent even as both Canadian and U.S.

Gold and Silver Rise With Yields, Breaking the Usual Pattern

September 18, 2026

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