The Canadian Index

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Line chart comparing the Bank of Canada overnight rate against the rising Government of Canada 10-year bond yield.

The Bank of Canada's overnight rate has held at 2.25 percent through six consecutive meetings since April, but the Government of Canada 10-year bond yield has climbed 34 basis points over the same window to 3.74 percent, its highest close since May 2024. The move tracks a broader rise in long-term North American borrowing costs rather than any shift in Bank of Canada policy, meaning Canadian mortgage rates are tightening even without a central bank move.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Line chart tracking the Government of Canada 10-year bond yield's daily close through late August 2026.

The Government of Canada 10-year yield touched a more than two-year high of 3.77% on August 21 before retreating on trade-war growth…

The 10-Year Round Trip: What a Hot PCE Print Means for the Sept. 2 BoC Decision

August 27, 2026

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Line chart comparing Canada's headline and core Consumer Price Index inflation rates through July 2026.

Canadian headline inflation accelerated to 3.0% in July, up from 2.8% in June and above consensus, driven mainly by energy prices as…

Canada's Inflation Print Just Complicated the Bank of Canada's September Calculus, and the Fed Isn't Making It Easier

August 20, 2026

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Line chart tracking Bank of Canada rate decisions from January 2025 to July 2026, showing a sixth consecutive hold at 2.25 percent.

The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth consecutive decision, even as Canada's inflation cooled to 2.8% in June…

Canada's Inflation Cooled to 2.8%. The Bank of Canada Got More Hawkish Anyway.

July 22, 2026

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Bar chart showing nine of twelve Federal Reserve officials favouring interest rate hikes in June 2026.

Minutes from the June 16 to 17 Federal Reserve meeting, the first chaired by Kevin Warsh, showed nine of twelve officials favouring higher…

The Fed's Internal Vote Just Turned Hawkish. The Bank of Canada Has Not Moved. Wednesday Puts Both on Display.

July 13, 2026

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Line chart showing WTI crude oil declining over four sessions amid a Hormuz shipping data dispute.

Crude oil has fallen for four straight sessions, with the U.S.

Oil Falls for a Fourth Session as Hormuz Shipping Data Is Disputed

September 21, 2026

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Line chart of the TSX Composite as Canadian bond yields stayed elevated despite falling oil prices.

The Government of Canada 10-year bond yield closed near 3.94 percent in mid-September, largely unchanged from before oil began its decline,…

TSX Slides as Canadian Bond Yields Stay Elevated Despite Falling Oil

September 21, 2026

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