The Canadian Index

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Line chart tracking the Bank of Canada overnight rate target at 2.25% through each fixed announcement date from January 2025 to July 2026, marking five consecutive holds.

This chart tracks the Bank of Canada's overnight rate through each fixed announcement date, showing five straight holds at 2.25% since late October 2025. That stability is now facing pressure from outside Canada's borders: hawkish Federal Reserve minutes and an oil-driven bond selloff tied to Middle East tensions have pushed market odds of a Bank of Canada hike sharply higher within a single trading day. The shift is notable because it arrived while the central bank sits in its pre-decision blackout period, unable to respond publicly before the next scheduled announcement.

This chart is presented for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Figures reflect the source and period indicated and may no longer be current.

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Line chart showing the TSX Composite retreating over 24 sessions as bond yields resumed climbing.

The TSX Composite gave back most of Thursday's post-Fed rebound by Friday, closing at 35,677.84 as bond yields resumed climbing.

TSX Gives Back Post-Fed Rally as Bond Yields Resume Climbing

September 18, 2026

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Bar chart showing gold and silver rising while the TSX and crude oil fell on September 18.

Six major markets split unevenly on September 18: silver rose 2.32 percent and gold 1.00 percent even as both Canadian and U.S.

Gold and Silver Rise With Yields, Breaking the Usual Pattern

September 18, 2026

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Line chart showing WTI crude oil declining over four sessions amid a Hormuz shipping data dispute.

Crude oil has fallen for four straight sessions, with the U.S.

Oil Falls for a Fourth Session as Hormuz Shipping Data Is Disputed

September 21, 2026

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Line chart of the TSX Composite as Canadian bond yields stayed elevated despite falling oil prices.

The Government of Canada 10-year bond yield closed near 3.94 percent in mid-September, largely unchanged from before oil began its decline,…

TSX Slides as Canadian Bond Yields Stay Elevated Despite Falling Oil

September 21, 2026

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Step chart showing the Bank of Canada overnight rate holding at 2.25 percent for six consecutive decisions from April 2024 through July 2026.

The Bank of Canada has held its overnight rate at 2.25% for six consecutive decisions, following nine cuts made between June 2024 and October 2025.

The BoC Meets Five Days After Warsh Speaks and Two Weeks Before the Fed Decides

August 17, 2026

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Line chart tracking Bank of Canada rate decisions from January 2025 to July 2026, showing a sixth consecutive hold at 2.25 percent.

The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth consecutive decision, even as Canada's inflation cooled to 2.8% in June…

Canada's Inflation Cooled to 2.8%. The Bank of Canada Got More Hawkish Anyway.

July 22, 2026

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